Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.107372 0.118761 0.130436 0.143270 0.156957 0.171090 0.186759
2024-12-29 0.089701 0.106925 0.125463 0.146777 0.170485 0.195930 0.225183
2025-01-05 0.076610 0.097696 0.121389 0.149689 0.182275 0.218337 0.260975
2025-01-12 0.066263 0.089911 0.117536 0.151647 0.192091 0.237996 0.293509
2025-01-19 0.057497 0.082748 0.113332 0.152248 0.199594 0.254516 0.322211
2025-01-26 0.055055 0.082926 0.117626 0.162775 0.218744 0.284686 0.367059
2025-02-02 0.049514 0.078438 0.115550 0.164999 0.227515 0.302361 0.397142
2025-02-09 0.045269 0.075175 0.114623 0.168323 0.237401 0.321269 0.428728
2025-02-16 0.040306 0.070392 0.111251 0.168113 0.242557 0.334210 0.453016
2025-02-23 0.039013 0.070668 0.114562 0.176601 0.258817 0.361011 0.494524
2025-03-02 0.037265 0.070073 0.116534 0.183223 0.272665 0.384879 0.532604
2025-03-09 0.033555 0.066148 0.113535 0.182852 0.277175 0.396839 0.555802
2025-03-16 0.028915 0.060496 0.107934 0.178938 0.277240 0.403603 0.573246
2025-03-23 0.027290 0.059586 0.109227 0.184714 0.290463 0.427608 0.613029
2025-03-30 0.025373 0.057997 0.109380 0.188820 0.301463 0.448876 0.649606
2025-04-06 0.023277 0.055876 0.108554 0.191401 0.310337 0.467414 0.682844
2025-04-13 0.021006 0.053187 0.106636 0.192221 0.316677 0.482597 0.711828
2025-04-20 0.021328 0.055306 0.112433 0.204627 0.339442 0.519898 0.769993
2025-04-27 0.019680 0.053515 0.111779 0.207253 0.348366 0.538717 0.804105
2025-05-04 0.018413 0.052322 0.112005 0.211153 0.359101 0.560037 0.841655
2025-05-11 0.016536 0.049682 0.109631 0.210911 0.363792 0.573141 0.868392
2025-05-18 0.016486 0.050835 0.113744 0.220838 0.383338 0.606677 0.922538
2025-05-25 0.016085 0.051186 0.116449 0.228566 0.399737 0.636014 0.971271